2012 Olympics Round of 16 Forecasts

Here are my forecasts for the remaining 16 players in both Olympics singles draws.  Note that Djokovic has opened up a bigger gap over Federer.  Novak is aided by Berdych’s upset, while Federer is still likely to play the top seeds in his half.

On the women’s side, the third quarter is a crowded one, with Clijsters, Sharapova, and two dangerous floaters in Ivanovic and Lisicki.

For more background, you can see my initial forecasts, (almost) current rankings, and methodology.

Men:

Player                       QF     SF      F      W  
(1)Roger Federer          85.3%  64.5%  45.1%  25.7%  
Denis Istomin             14.7%   5.0%   1.5%   0.3%  
(10)John Isner            53.5%  16.9%   7.5%   2.4%  
(7)Janko Tipsarevic       46.5%  13.5%   5.6%   1.7%  
(4)David Ferrer           63.3%  36.3%  16.2%   6.7%  
(15)Kei Nishikori         36.7%  16.0%   5.2%   1.6%  
(12)Gilles Simon          32.3%  11.7%   3.3%   0.8%  
(8)Juan Martin Del Potro  67.7%  36.0%  15.5%   6.2%  

Player                       QF     SF      F      W  
Steve Darcis              39.5%   8.9%   1.5%   0.3%  
(11)Nicolas Almagro       60.5%  18.1%   4.2%   1.3%  
Marcos Baghdatis          22.7%  11.9%   2.7%   0.7%  
(3)Andy Murray            77.3%  61.1%  29.8%  16.4%  
(5)Jo-Wilfried Tsonga     67.5%  23.3%  12.0%   5.4%  
Feliciano Lopez           32.5%   6.9%   2.4%   0.7%  
(WC)Lleyton Hewitt         4.6%   0.6%   0.1%   0.0%  
(2)Novak Djokovic         95.4%  69.3%  47.3%  29.7%

Women:

Player                 QF     SF      F      W  
Victoria Azarenka   78.9%  53.3%  28.2%  18.0%  
Nadia Petrova       21.1%   7.9%   1.9%   0.6%  
Venus Williams      16.8%   2.5%   0.3%   0.1%  
Angelique Kerber    83.2%  36.3%  14.8%   7.6%  
Serena Williams     75.9%  56.2%  36.9%  26.2%  
Vera Zvonareva      24.1%  11.5%   4.4%   1.9%  
Daniela Hantuchova  36.2%   9.1%   2.9%   1.1%  
Caroline Wozniacki  63.8%  23.2%  10.6%   5.3%  

Player                 QF     SF      F      W  
Kim Clijsters       62.5%  33.2%  20.3%   8.9%  
Ana Ivanovic        37.5%  15.4%   7.4%   2.5%  
Sabine Lisicki      36.8%  15.7%   7.7%   2.5%  
Maria Sharapova     63.2%  35.6%  22.2%  10.0%  
Petra Kvitova       65.5%  45.7%  23.9%  10.2%  
Flavia Pennetta     34.5%  18.9%   7.0%   1.9%  
Maria Kirilenko     47.5%  16.2%   5.0%   1.2%  
Julia Goerges       52.5%  19.3%   6.6%   1.8%
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1 Comment

Filed under Forecasting, Olympics, WTA

One response to “2012 Olympics Round of 16 Forecasts

  1. Tom Welsh

    With benefit of hindsight, it’s interesting to note that Federer beat Del Potro, who in turn defeated Djokovic in straight sets.

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