2012 French Open Women’s Projections

For the Grand Slams, my ranking system takes aim at the WTA, too.  Here are pre-tournament odds for each player in the draw.

(Yes, it’s mid-day Monday and many first round matches are in the books.  I’ll post a link with automatically-updating odds soon; pre-tournament numbers on the record for comparison’s sake.)

    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
1   Victoria Azarenka         91.6%  85.8%  73.9%    14.3%  
    Alberta Brianti            8.4%   4.8%   1.8%     0.0%  
    Caroline Garcia           55.3%   5.6%   1.8%     0.0%  
    Dinah Pfizenmaier         44.7%   3.9%   1.1%     0.0%  
    Heidi El Tabakh           29.5%   9.0%   1.1%     0.0%  
    Aleksandra Wozniak        70.5%  36.2%   8.2%     0.1%  
    Alize Cornet              40.1%  19.5%   3.6%     0.0%  
31  Jie Zheng                 59.9%  35.3%   8.5%     0.1%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
20  Lucie Safarova            82.9%  57.2%  25.9%     0.5%  
    Anastasiya Yakimova       17.1%   5.6%   0.9%     0.0%  
    MJ Martinez Sanchez       74.6%  31.6%  10.5%     0.0%  
    Eva Birnerova             25.4%   5.6%   0.9%     0.0%  
    Vania King                57.6%  20.6%  10.7%     0.1%  
    Galina Voskoboeva         42.4%  12.5%   5.6%     0.0%  
    Kristina Mladenovic       12.7%   3.6%   1.0%     0.0%  
15  Dominika Cibulkova        87.3%  63.3%  44.5%     2.6%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
12  Sabine Lisicki            65.9%  35.2%  23.0%     0.5%  
    Bethanie Mattek-Sands     34.1%  12.7%   6.2%     0.0%  
    Ekaterina Makarova        69.5%  40.4%  27.3%     0.8%  
    Sloane Stephens           30.5%  11.7%   5.7%     0.0%  
    Mathilde Johansson        40.8%  10.9%   2.4%     0.0%  
    Anastasia Rodionova       59.2%  20.8%   6.2%     0.0%  
    Simona Halep              53.2%  37.1%  16.5%     0.2%  
24  Petra Cetkovska           46.8%  31.1%  12.7%     0.1%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
27  Nadia Petrova             55.7%  37.4%  15.3%     0.2%  
    Iveta Benesova            44.3%  27.4%   9.9%     0.1%  
    Laura Pous-Tio            37.5%  10.6%   2.4%     0.0%  
    Chanelle Scheepers        62.5%  24.7%   7.8%     0.0%  
    Irina Falconi             48.9%   8.4%   2.6%     0.0%  
    Edina Gallovits-Hall      51.1%   9.1%   2.9%     0.0%  
    Elena Baltacha            15.6%   8.8%   3.3%     0.0%  
6   Samantha Stosur           84.4%  73.7%  55.9%     4.4%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
3   Agnieszka Radwanska       86.1%  62.3%  47.5%     4.7%  
    Bojana Jovanovski         13.9%   4.4%   1.6%     0.0%  
    Venus Williams            78.7%  29.9%  18.4%     0.4%  
    Paula Ormaechea           21.3%   3.4%   1.1%     0.0%  
    Yung-Jan Chan             34.1%   8.6%   1.3%     0.0%  
    Kateryna Bondarenko       65.9%  25.3%   6.1%     0.0%  
    Mirjana Lucic             22.1%   9.6%   1.6%     0.0%  
26  Svetlana Kuznetsova       77.9%  56.5%  22.5%     0.5%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
21  Sara Errani               70.2%  48.9%  21.5%     0.3%  
    Casey Dellacqua           29.8%  14.8%   3.9%     0.0%  
    Melanie Oudin             40.7%  12.7%   3.0%     0.0%  
    Johanna Larsson           59.3%  23.6%   7.1%     0.0%  
    Stephanie Dubois          24.1%   4.3%   1.3%     0.0%  
    Shahar Peer               75.9%  28.7%  16.1%     0.1%  
    L Arruabarrena-Vecino     13.3%   4.1%   1.3%     0.0%  
13  Ana Ivanovic              86.7%  63.0%  45.9%     2.2%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
10  Angelique Kerber          88.3%  73.8%  56.2%     4.3%  
    Shuai Zhang               11.7%   4.7%   1.5%     0.0%  
    Romina Oprandi            46.5%   9.5%   3.7%     0.0%  
    Olga Govortsova           53.5%  11.9%   4.9%     0.0%  
    Anna Tatishvili           58.0%  18.0%   4.1%     0.0%  
    Alexa Glatch              42.0%  10.5%   1.9%     0.0%  
    Su-Wei Hsieh              31.8%  19.2%   5.3%     0.0%  
18  Flavia Pennetta           68.2%  52.2%  22.3%     0.4%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
29  A. Medina Garrigues       66.8%  48.5%  20.5%     0.1%  
    Laura Robson              33.2%  19.1%   5.4%     0.0%  
    Kai-Chen Chang            50.4%  16.4%   3.8%     0.0%  
    Irena Pavlovic            49.7%  16.0%   3.6%     0.0%  
    Petra Martic              58.2%  17.2%   8.9%     0.0%  
    Michaella Krajicek        41.8%   9.7%   4.3%     0.0%  
    Karolina Pliskova         15.4%   6.4%   2.5%     0.0%  
8   Marion Bartoli            84.6%  66.7%  51.1%     1.7%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
7   Na Li                     78.4%  71.0%  57.8%     8.4%  
    Sorana Cirstea            21.6%  15.6%   8.5%     0.1%  
    B Zahlavova Strycova      59.4%   8.9%   3.2%     0.0%  
    S Foretz Gacon            40.6%   4.5%   1.2%     0.0%  
    Christina McHale          75.3%  45.7%  15.4%     0.2%  
    Kiki Bertens              24.7%   8.5%   1.4%     0.0%  
    Lauren Davis              35.5%  13.0%   2.7%     0.0%  
30  Mona Barthel              64.5%  32.7%   9.7%     0.1%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
17  Roberta Vinci             50.3%  34.3%  22.7%     0.2%  
    Sofia Arvidsson           49.7%  33.7%  22.4%     0.2%  
    Yaroslava Shvedova        60.0%  21.3%  11.1%     0.0%  
    Mandy Minella             40.0%  10.7%   4.6%     0.0%  
    Tamarine Tanasugarn       25.3%   9.9%   2.4%     0.0%  
    Carla Suarez Navarro      74.7%  48.8%  23.3%     0.1%  
    Timea Babos               52.4%  22.3%   7.6%     0.0%  
    Sesil Karatantcheva       47.6%  19.0%   5.9%     0.0%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
14  Francesca Schiavone       81.6%  42.3%  25.8%     0.3%  
    Kimiko Date-Krumm         18.4%   3.7%   1.0%     0.0%  
    Tsvetana Pironkova        38.2%  18.1%   9.4%     0.1%  
    Yanina Wickmayer          61.8%  35.8%  22.5%     0.4%  
    Varvara Lepchenko         54.7%  23.0%   8.4%     0.0%  
    Ksenia Pervak             45.3%  17.3%   5.6%     0.0%  
    P Mayr-Achleitner         24.2%   9.4%   2.3%     0.0%  
19  Jelena Jankovic           75.8%  50.2%  25.1%     0.3%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
32  Monica Niculescu          64.8%  37.8%   8.0%     0.0%  
    Nina Bratchikova          35.2%  15.4%   2.1%     0.0%  
    Vera Dushevina            62.2%  31.9%   6.2%     0.0%  
    Claire Feuerstein         37.8%  14.9%   2.0%     0.0%  
    Pauline Parmentier        43.5%   6.1%   3.0%     0.0%  
    Urszula Radwanska         56.5%   9.7%   5.4%     0.0%  
    Ashleigh Barty             4.5%   1.1%   0.3%     0.0%  
4   Petra Kvitova             95.5%  83.0%  73.1%     8.5%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
5   Serena Williams           93.2%  87.6%  74.0%    23.3%  
    Virginie Razzano           6.8%   3.6%   1.1%     0.0%  
    Arantxa Rus               56.2%   5.4%   1.6%     0.0%  
    Jamie Hampton             43.8%   3.5%   0.9%     0.0%  
    Elena Vesnina             70.8%  29.7%   5.8%     0.1%  
    Heather Watson            29.2%   6.9%   0.7%     0.0%  
    Lucie Hradecka            32.2%  16.6%   2.9%     0.0%  
25  Julia Goerges             67.8%  46.7%  13.0%     0.6%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
23  Kaia Kanepi               75.3%  53.4%  22.4%     0.2%  
    Alexandra Panova          24.7%  11.0%   2.3%     0.0%  
    Irina-Camelia Begu        51.8%  18.8%   4.7%     0.0%  
    Aravane Rezai             48.2%  16.8%   3.9%     0.0%  
    Jarmila Gajdosova         56.8%  18.8%  10.2%     0.0%  
    Magdalena Rybarikova      43.2%  12.0%   5.8%     0.0%  
    Eleni Daniilidou          11.3%   3.1%   0.9%     0.0%  
9   Caroline Wozniacki        88.7%  66.1%  49.8%     2.3%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
16  Maria Kirilenko           75.9%  48.1%  24.8%     0.1%  
    Victoria Larriere         24.1%   8.7%   2.5%     0.0%  
    Klara Zakopalova          64.8%  31.2%  13.6%     0.0%  
    Lesia Tsurenko            35.2%  12.0%   3.8%     0.0%  
    Anne Keothavong           42.6%   9.6%   3.0%     0.0%  
    Melinda Czink             57.4%  15.7%   5.8%     0.0%  
    Greta Arn                 26.3%  15.5%   6.7%     0.0%  
22  Anastasia Pavlyuchenkova  73.7%  59.2%  39.9%     0.6%  
                                                            
    Player                      R64    R32    R16        W  
28  Shuai Peng                67.8%  44.7%  10.8%     0.1%  
    Tamira Paszek             32.2%  15.7%   2.3%     0.0%  
    Marina Erakovic           63.2%  28.0%   4.9%     0.0%  
    Lourdes Dominguez Lino    36.8%  11.6%   1.3%     0.0%  
    Polona Hercog             61.7%  11.2%   6.2%     0.0%  
    Ayumi Morita              38.3%   4.9%   2.2%     0.0%  
    Alexandra Cadantu          6.3%   2.1%   0.7%     0.0%  
2   Maria Sharapova           93.7%  81.9%  71.5%    14.8%
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Filed under Forecasting, French Open, WTA

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