French Open Odds Update: 4th Round

With Juan Martin del Potro out of the way, Novak Djokovic is once again the odds-on favorite to win the French Open. His chances of winning are up to 38.7%, while Rafael Nadal’s haven’t budged much, now sitting at 25.8%.

Djokovic seems set to cruise into the semifinals, at least. Tomorrow he’ll face Richard Gasquet, and then in the quarters it gets even easier, with either Fabio Fognini or Albert Montanes. Things have worked out nicely for another Serbian, as well. Viktor Troicki will play Andy Murray–not the easiest draw, of course, but made easier by Murray’s ankle-twisting today. And whoever comes out of that match should be able to reach a semifinal date with Nadal, as the next opponent will be either Alejandro Falla or Juan Ignacio Chela.

Here are the full odds:

Player                     QF     SF      F      W  
(1)Rafael Nadal         84.4%  61.5%  46.8%  25.8%  
Ivan Ljubicic           15.6%   4.9%   2.0%   0.4%  
(18)Gilles Simon        28.7%   6.4%   2.7%   0.6%  
(5)Robin Soderling      71.3%  27.1%  16.4%   5.9%  
(4)Andy Murray          76.0%  67.0%  27.3%  10.1%  
(15)Viktor Troicki      24.0%  16.9%   3.2%   0.5%  
(q)Alejandro Falla      40.7%   5.4%   0.5%   0.0%  
Juan Ignacio Chela      59.3%  10.7%   1.2%   0.1%  
                                                    
Player                     QF     SF      F      W  
(7)David Ferrer         55.8%  22.4%   6.9%   2.7%  
(9)Gael Monfils         44.2%  15.7%   3.9%   1.3%  
(14)Stanislas Wawrinka  25.6%  10.8%   2.4%   0.7%  
(3)Roger Federer        74.4%  51.0%  21.8%  11.1%  
Fabio Fognini           38.5%   3.0%   0.5%   0.1%  
Albert Montanes         61.5%   6.3%   1.4%   0.2%  
(13)Richard Gasquet     17.5%  13.5%   5.5%   1.8%  
(2)Novak Djokovic       82.5%  77.2%  57.5%  38.7%
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2 Comments

Filed under Forecasting, French Open

2 responses to “French Open Odds Update: 4th Round

  1. There are some great match-ups ahead and it will be interesting to see who wins.

  2. Hey, the betting odds certainly provide a different way of predicting a winner. I recently started blogging bout tennis, would love it if you could take a look and let me know what you think…
    http://schroeds.wordpress.com/2011/05/27/analysis-of-womens-draw-at-roland-garros-2-0/

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